Mexican Kennel Club
2025 Season
Week
15
Last scored: Week
14
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 8
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 8
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
PBR100
|
7-1
6 games left
|
1126.9
|
100.0%
95.8% bye
|
12.2
(7-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
jlowengrub
|
6-2
6 games left
|
1149.2
|
99.6%
71.3% bye
|
10.5
(6-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
alexkeisner
|
6-2
6 games left
|
1085.3
|
96.7%
20.2% bye
|
10.0
(6-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
szelnick
|
5-2-1
6 games left
|
1029.6
|
84.0%
5.7% bye
|
8.4
(5-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
howufiger7
|
5-3
6 games left
|
1051.8
|
87.5%
3.1% bye
|
9.6
(5-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
sj80
|
5-3
6 games left
|
987.5
|
44.1%
0.7% bye
|
9.0
(5-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
topolho
|
4-4
6 games left
|
1104.0
|
79.2%
3.1% bye
|
8.3
(4-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
Tommybeans
|
3-5
6 games left
|
986.7
|
7.3%
|
6.7
(3-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
suremanatr
|
3-5
6 games left
|
932.2
|
1.6%
|
5.1
(3-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
RobMulhall
|
2-6
6 games left
|
830.6
|
0.0%
|
3.6
(2-8)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
likelyBillyD
|
1-7
6 games left
|
845.8
|
0.0%
|
2.4
(1-7)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
zafiro
|
0-7-1
6 games left
|
896.3
|
0.0%
|
2.1
(0-6)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
PBR100
7-1 • 6 left
100.0%
playoff
12.2
proj wins
1126.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
73.4%
Seed 2:
22.3%
Seed 3:
3.4%
Seed 4:
0.7%
Seed 5:
0.1%
Magic Number
3 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
jlowengrub
6-2 • 6 left
99.6%
playoff
10.5
proj wins
1149.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
21.7%
Seed 2:
49.6%
Seed 3:
17.7%
Seed 4:
6.9%
Seed 5:
2.4%
Seed 6:
1.3%
Magic Number
4 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
alexkeisner
6-2 • 6 left
96.7%
playoff
10.0
proj wins
1085.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
3.6%
Seed 2:
16.7%
Seed 3:
35.5%
Seed 4:
18.7%
Seed 5:
13.1%
Seed 6:
9.1%
Magic Number
4 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
szelnick
5-2-1 • 6 left
84.0%
playoff
8.4
proj wins
1029.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.8%
Seed 2:
5.0%
Seed 3:
12.9%
Seed 4:
20.0%
Seed 5:
24.0%
Seed 6:
21.3%
Magic Number
5 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
howufiger7
5-3 • 6 left
87.5%
playoff
9.6
proj wins
1051.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.3%
Seed 2:
2.8%
Seed 3:
15.3%
Seed 4:
25.8%
Seed 5:
24.8%
Seed 6:
18.4%
Magic Number
5 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
sj80
5-3 • 6 left
44.1%
playoff
9.0
proj wins
987.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.6%
Seed 3:
3.1%
Seed 4:
7.9%
Seed 5:
12.3%
Seed 6:
20.2%
Magic Number
5 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
topolho
4-4 • 6 left
79.2%
playoff
8.3
proj wins
1104.0
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.1%
Seed 2:
3.0%
Seed 3:
12.0%
Seed 4:
19.6%
Seed 5:
21.6%
Seed 6:
22.9%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(18.8% chance)
• You must win 3 of 6 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 23.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 45.3 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 18.8)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.3)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 116.5)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 117.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 171.8)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 273.4)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 258.2)
6-8
(14.7% chance)
• You must win 2 of 6 remaining games
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 45.3 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 18.8)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.3)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 116.5)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 117.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 171.8)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 273.4)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 258.2)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 207.7)
8-6
(13.9% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 23.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 45.3 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 18.8)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.3)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 116.5)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 117.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 171.8)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 273.4)
5-9
(11.6% chance)
• You must win 1 of 6 remaining games
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.3)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 116.5)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 117.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 171.8)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 273.4)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 258.2)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 207.7)
9-5
(11.6% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 23.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 45.3 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 18.8)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.3)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 116.5)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 117.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 171.8)
10-4
(8.6% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 23.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 45.3 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 18.8)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.3)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 116.5)
8
Tommybeans
3-5 • 6 left
7.3%
playoff
6.7
proj wins
986.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.3%
Seed 5:
1.4%
Seed 6:
5.5%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(2.1% chance)
• You must win 3 of 6 remaining games
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 162.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 98.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 65.1 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 43.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 0.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 117.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 156.1)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 140.9)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 90.4)
5-9
(1.7% chance)
• You must win 2 of 6 remaining games
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7: outscore them by 65.1 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 43.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 0.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 117.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 156.1)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 140.9)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 90.4)
7-7
(1.5% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 140.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 162.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 98.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 65.1 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 43.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 0.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 117.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 156.1)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 140.9)
8-6
(1.1% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 140.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 162.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 98.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 65.1 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 43.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 0.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 117.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 156.1)
9-5
(0.9% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 140.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 162.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 98.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 65.1 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 43.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 0.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 117.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.5)
9
suremanatr
3-5 • 6 left
1.6%
playoff
5.1
proj wins
932.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.1%
Seed 5:
0.3%
Seed 6:
1.2%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(0.5% chance)
• You must win 3 of 6 remaining games
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 217.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 153.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 119.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 97.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 55.4 points
• topolho: outscore them by 171.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 54.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.7)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.4)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.0)
5-9
(0.4% chance)
• You must win 2 of 6 remaining games
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7: outscore them by 119.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 97.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 55.4 points
• topolho: outscore them by 171.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 54.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.7)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.4)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.0)
7-7
(0.3% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 194.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 217.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 153.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 119.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 97.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 55.4 points
• topolho: outscore them by 171.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 54.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.7)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.4)
8-6
(0.2% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 194.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 217.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 153.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 119.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 97.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 55.4 points
• topolho: outscore them by 171.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 54.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.7)
9-5
(0.2% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 194.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 217.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 153.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 119.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 97.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 55.4 points
• topolho: outscore them by 171.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 54.6 points
10
RobMulhall
2-6 • 6 left
0.0%
playoff
3.6
proj wins
830.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
5-9
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 3 of 6 remaining games
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7: outscore them by 221.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 199.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 157.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 273.5 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 156.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 101.8 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 15.3 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 65.8 points
6-8
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 318.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 254.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 221.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 199.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 157.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 273.5 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 156.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 101.8 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 15.3 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 65.8 points
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 296.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 318.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 254.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 221.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 199.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 157.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 273.5 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 156.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 101.8 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 15.3 points
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 296.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 318.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 254.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 221.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 199.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 157.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 273.5 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 156.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 101.8 points
11
likelyBillyD
1-7 • 6 left
0.0%
playoff
2.4
proj wins
845.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
5-9
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7: outscore them by 206.1 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 183.9 points
• sj80: outscore them by 141.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 258.3 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 141.0 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.5 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• zafiro: outscore them by 50.6 points
6-8
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 303.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 239.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 206.1 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 183.9 points
• sj80: outscore them by 141.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 258.3 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 141.0 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.5 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• zafiro: outscore them by 50.6 points
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 281.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 303.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 239.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 206.1 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 183.9 points
• sj80: outscore them by 141.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 258.3 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 141.0 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.5 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
12
zafiro
0-7-1 • 6 left
0.0%
playoff
2.1
proj wins
896.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
5-8
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• howufiger7: outscore them by 155.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 133.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 91.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 207.8 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 90.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 36.1 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 65.7)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.5)
6-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 253.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 189.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 155.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 133.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 91.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 207.8 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 90.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 36.1 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 65.7)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.5)
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.