Mexican Kennel Club
2025 Season
Week
15
Last scored: Week
14
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 5
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 5
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
szelnick
|
4-0-1
9 games left
|
673.1
|
98.7%
44.4% bye
|
10.4
(4-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
jlowengrub
|
4-1
9 games left
|
701.8
|
99.8%
77.4% bye
|
11.7
(4-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
PBR100
|
4-1
9 games left
|
679.4
|
99.9%
67.5% bye
|
10.7
(4-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
alexkeisner
|
4-1
9 games left
|
637.3
|
83.4%
7.3% bye
|
9.4
(4-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
suremanatr
|
3-2
9 games left
|
638.4
|
63.6%
1.0% bye
|
9.1
(3-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
topolho
|
2-3
9 games left
|
658.3
|
84.0%
1.9% bye
|
7.3
(2-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
howufiger7
|
2-3
9 games left
|
639.3
|
51.2%
0.6% bye
|
6.8
(2-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
sj80
|
2-3
9 games left
|
591.7
|
11.2%
0.0% bye
|
6.0
(2-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
RobMulhall
|
2-3
9 games left
|
552.2
|
1.1%
|
5.9
(2-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
Tommybeans
|
1-4
9 games left
|
602.7
|
5.1%
|
5.4
(1-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
likelyBillyD
|
1-4
9 games left
|
564.9
|
1.6%
|
4.5
(1-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
zafiro
|
0-4-1
9 games left
|
559.9
|
0.4%
|
3.1
(0-9)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
szelnick
4-0-1 • 9 left
98.7%
playoff
10.4
proj wins
673.1
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
21.1%
Seed 2:
23.3%
Seed 3:
31.1%
Seed 4:
14.2%
Seed 5:
6.3%
Seed 6:
2.7%
Magic Number
7 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
jlowengrub
4-1 • 9 left
99.8%
playoff
11.7
proj wins
701.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
47.3%
Seed 2:
30.0%
Seed 3:
16.0%
Seed 4:
4.8%
Seed 5:
1.3%
Seed 6:
0.4%
Magic Number
7 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
PBR100
4-1 • 9 left
99.9%
playoff
10.7
proj wins
679.4
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
28.9%
Seed 2:
38.6%
Seed 3:
24.2%
Seed 4:
6.5%
Seed 5:
1.4%
Seed 6:
0.4%
Magic Number
7 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
alexkeisner
4-1 • 9 left
83.4%
playoff
9.4
proj wins
637.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
2.2%
Seed 2:
5.1%
Seed 3:
13.7%
Seed 4:
25.2%
Seed 5:
20.8%
Seed 6:
16.4%
Magic Number
7 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
suremanatr
3-2 • 9 left
63.6%
playoff
9.1
proj wins
638.4
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.1%
Seed 2:
0.9%
Seed 3:
3.8%
Seed 4:
12.0%
Seed 5:
20.8%
Seed 6:
25.9%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
topolho
2-3 • 9 left
84.0%
playoff
7.3
proj wins
658.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.3%
Seed 2:
1.6%
Seed 3:
8.5%
Seed 4:
26.4%
Seed 5:
28.0%
Seed 6:
19.2%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
howufiger7
2-3 • 9 left
51.2%
playoff
6.8
proj wins
639.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.5%
Seed 3:
2.5%
Seed 4:
9.4%
Seed 5:
16.3%
Seed 6:
22.5%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(15.9% chance)
• You must win 5 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 62.6 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 40.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 34.0 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.0)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.9)
• topolho: outscore them by 19.1 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 87.1)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.4)
8-6
(11.8% chance)
• You must win 6 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 62.6 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 40.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 34.0 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.0)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.9)
• topolho: outscore them by 19.1 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 87.1)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.4)
9-5
(9.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 62.6 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 40.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 34.0 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.0)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.9)
• topolho: outscore them by 19.1 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 87.1)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.4)
10-4
(7.6% chance)
• You must win 8 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 62.6 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 40.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 34.0 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.0)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.9)
• topolho: outscore them by 19.1 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 87.1)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 74.4)
11-3
(6.7% chance)
• You must win 9 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 62.6 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 40.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 34.0 points
• alexkeisner: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.0)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.9)
• topolho: outscore them by 19.1 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 87.1)
8
sj80
2-3 • 9 left
11.2%
playoff
6.0
proj wins
591.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.3%
Seed 4:
1.0%
Seed 5:
3.2%
Seed 6:
6.8%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(3.5% chance)
• You must win 5 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 110.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 87.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 81.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 45.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 46.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.7 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.5)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 11.1 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.8)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.8)
8-6
(2.6% chance)
• You must win 6 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 110.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 87.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 81.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 45.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 46.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.7 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.5)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 11.1 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.8)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.8)
9-5
(2.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 110.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 87.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 81.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 45.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 46.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.7 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.5)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 11.1 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.8)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.8)
10-4
(1.7% chance)
• You must win 8 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 110.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 87.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 81.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 45.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 46.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.7 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.5)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 11.1 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.8)
11-3
(1.5% chance)
• You must win 9 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 110.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 87.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 81.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 45.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 46.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.7 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.5)
9
RobMulhall
2-3 • 9 left
1.1%
playoff
5.9
proj wins
552.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 5:
0.2%
Seed 6:
0.9%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.4% chance)
• You must win 5 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 149.7 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 127.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 85.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 106.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 87.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 50.6 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 12.8 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 7.7 points
8-6
(0.3% chance)
• You must win 6 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 149.7 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 127.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 85.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 106.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 87.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 50.6 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 12.8 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 7.7 points
9-5
(0.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 149.7 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 127.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 85.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 106.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 87.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 50.6 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 12.8 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 7.7 points
10-4
(0.2% chance)
• You must win 8 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 149.7 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 127.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 85.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 106.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 87.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 50.6 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 12.8 points
11-3
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 9 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 149.7 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 127.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 85.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 106.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 87.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.6 points
10
Tommybeans
1-4 • 9 left
5.1%
playoff
5.4
proj wins
602.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.4%
Seed 5:
1.2%
Seed 6:
3.5%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(1.9% chance)
• You must win 6 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 99.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 76.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 70.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 34.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 35.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 55.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 36.7 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.0)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.8)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.8)
8-6
(1.4% chance)
• You must win 7 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 99.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 76.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 70.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 34.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 35.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 55.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 36.7 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.0)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.8)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.8)
9-5
(1.1% chance)
• You must win 8 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 99.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 76.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 70.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 34.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 35.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 55.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 36.7 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.0)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.8)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.8)
10-4
(0.8% chance)
• You must win 9 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 99.2 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 76.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 70.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 34.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 35.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 55.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 36.7 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.0)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.8)
11
likelyBillyD
1-4 • 9 left
1.6%
playoff
4.5
proj wins
564.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.1%
Seed 5:
0.4%
Seed 6:
1.0%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.6% chance)
• You must win 6 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 137.0 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 114.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 108.3 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 72.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 73.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.5 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 26.9 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.7)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 37.9 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.0)
8-6
(0.4% chance)
• You must win 7 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 137.0 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 114.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 108.3 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 72.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 73.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.5 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 26.9 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.7)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 37.9 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.0)
9-5
(0.3% chance)
• You must win 8 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 137.0 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 114.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 108.3 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 72.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 73.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.5 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 26.9 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.7)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 37.9 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.0)
10-4
(0.3% chance)
• You must win 9 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 137.0 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 114.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 108.3 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 72.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 73.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.5 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 26.9 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.7)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 37.9 points
12
zafiro
0-4-1 • 9 left
0.4%
playoff
3.1
proj wins
559.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 6:
0.3%
Playoff Scenarios
7-6
(0.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 142.0 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 119.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 113.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 77.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 78.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 98.5 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 79.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.9 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 7.6)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 42.9 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 5.1 points
8-5
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 8 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 142.0 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 119.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 113.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 77.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 78.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 98.5 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 79.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.9 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 7.6)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 42.9 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 5.1 points
9-4
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 9 of 9 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 9 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 9 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 9 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 9 remaining
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 142.0 points
• PBR100: outscore them by 119.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 113.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 77.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 78.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 98.5 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 79.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.9 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 7.6)
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 42.9 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 5.1 points
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.