Mexican Kennel Club
2025 Season
Week
15
Last scored: Week
14
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 7
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 7
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
PBR100
|
6-1
7 games left
|
983.8
|
100.0%
86.3% bye
|
11.3
(6-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
alexkeisner
|
6-1
7 games left
|
953.3
|
98.0%
37.4% bye
|
11.3
(6-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
jlowengrub
|
5-2
7 games left
|
1010.3
|
99.6%
66.7% bye
|
10.2
(5-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
szelnick
|
4-2-1
7 games left
|
902.0
|
77.4%
5.1% bye
|
7.2
(4-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
howufiger7
|
4-3
7 games left
|
909.0
|
80.2%
2.5% bye
|
8.6
(4-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
sj80
|
4-3
7 games left
|
892.3
|
57.8%
1.3% bye
|
8.2
(4-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
topolho
|
3-4
7 games left
|
927.9
|
64.4%
0.7% bye
|
7.9
(3-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
Tommybeans
|
3-4
7 games left
|
861.7
|
13.8%
0.1% bye
|
8.0
(3-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
suremanatr
|
3-4
7 games left
|
834.2
|
8.3%
0.0% bye
|
5.5
(3-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
RobMulhall
|
2-5
7 games left
|
739.1
|
0.3%
|
3.9
(2-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
likelyBillyD
|
1-6
7 games left
|
765.6
|
0.1%
|
3.5
(1-8)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
zafiro
|
0-6-1
7 games left
|
769.1
|
0.0%
|
2.4
(0-7)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
PBR100
6-1 • 7 left
100.0%
playoff
11.3
proj wins
983.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
57.0%
Seed 2:
29.3%
Seed 3:
10.6%
Seed 4:
2.4%
Seed 5:
0.6%
Seed 6:
0.2%
Magic Number
4 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
alexkeisner
6-1 • 7 left
98.0%
playoff
11.3
proj wins
953.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
14.6%
Seed 2:
22.7%
Seed 3:
37.3%
Seed 4:
12.8%
Seed 5:
6.9%
Seed 6:
3.5%
Magic Number
4 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
jlowengrub
5-2 • 7 left
99.6%
playoff
10.2
proj wins
1010.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
26.7%
Seed 2:
40.0%
Seed 3:
22.4%
Seed 4:
6.8%
Seed 5:
2.7%
Seed 6:
1.0%
Magic Number
5 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
szelnick
4-2-1 • 7 left
77.4%
playoff
7.2
proj wins
902.0
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
1.2%
Seed 2:
3.9%
Seed 3:
10.3%
Seed 4:
20.2%
Seed 5:
22.0%
Seed 6:
19.8%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
howufiger7
4-3 • 7 left
80.2%
playoff
8.6
proj wins
909.0
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.2%
Seed 2:
2.2%
Seed 3:
10.0%
Seed 4:
25.1%
Seed 5:
24.6%
Seed 6:
18.1%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
sj80
4-3 • 7 left
57.8%
playoff
8.2
proj wins
892.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.2%
Seed 2:
1.1%
Seed 3:
4.4%
Seed 4:
14.7%
Seed 5:
17.0%
Seed 6:
20.3%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
topolho
3-4 • 7 left
64.4%
playoff
7.9
proj wins
927.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.6%
Seed 3:
4.4%
Seed 4:
15.6%
Seed 5:
20.1%
Seed 6:
23.6%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(17.2% chance)
• You must win 3 of 7 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 55.9 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 25.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.0)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 35.7)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 188.9)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 162.4)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 158.8)
7-7
(16.3% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 55.9 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 25.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.0)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 35.7)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 188.9)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 162.4)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 158.8)
8-6
(12.7% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 55.9 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 25.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.0)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 35.7)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 188.9)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 162.4)
9-5
(9.9% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 55.9 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 25.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.0)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 35.7)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 188.9)
10-4
(8.3% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 55.9 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 25.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.0)
• szelnick: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 35.7)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.3)
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
8
Tommybeans
3-4 • 7 left
13.8%
playoff
8.0
proj wins
861.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.3%
Seed 4:
1.4%
Seed 5:
3.7%
Seed 6:
8.4%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(3.7% chance)
• You must win 3 of 7 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 122.2 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 91.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 148.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 30.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 122.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 96.1)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 92.5)
7-7
(3.5% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 122.2 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 91.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 148.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 30.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 122.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 96.1)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 92.5)
8-6
(2.7% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 122.2 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 91.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 148.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 30.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 122.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 96.1)
9-5
(2.1% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 122.2 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 91.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 148.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 30.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 122.6)
10-4
(1.8% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 122.2 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 91.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 148.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 47.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 30.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 66.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.5)
9
suremanatr
3-4 • 7 left
8.3%
playoff
5.5
proj wins
834.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.2%
Seed 4:
1.0%
Seed 5:
2.4%
Seed 6:
4.8%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(2.2% chance)
• You must win 3 of 7 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 149.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 119.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 176.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 67.9 points
• sj80: outscore them by 58.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 27.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.1)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 68.6)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 65.0)
7-7
(2.1% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 149.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 119.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 176.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 67.9 points
• sj80: outscore them by 58.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 27.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.1)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 68.6)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 65.0)
8-6
(1.6% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 149.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 119.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 176.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 67.9 points
• sj80: outscore them by 58.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 27.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.1)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 68.6)
9-5
(1.3% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 149.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 119.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 176.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 67.9 points
• sj80: outscore them by 58.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 27.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.1)
10-4
(1.1% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 149.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 119.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 176.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 74.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 67.9 points
• sj80: outscore them by 58.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 93.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 27.6 points
10
RobMulhall
2-5 • 7 left
0.3%
playoff
3.9
proj wins
739.1
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 6:
0.2%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 244.8 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 214.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 271.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 170.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 163.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 153.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 189.0 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 122.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.2 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 26.6 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 30.1 points
7-7
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 244.8 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 214.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 271.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 170.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 163.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 153.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 189.0 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 122.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.2 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 26.6 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 30.1 points
8-6
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 244.8 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 214.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 271.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 170.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 163.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 153.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 189.0 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 122.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.2 points
• likelyBillyD: outscore them by 26.6 points
9-5
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 244.8 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 214.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 271.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 170.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 163.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 153.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 189.0 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 122.7 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.2 points
11
likelyBillyD
1-6 • 7 left
0.1%
playoff
3.5
proj wins
765.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 218.3 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 187.9 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 244.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 143.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 136.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 126.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 162.5 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 96.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 68.7 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.5)
• zafiro: outscore them by 3.6 points
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 218.3 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 187.9 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 244.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 143.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 136.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 126.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 162.5 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 96.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 68.7 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.5)
• zafiro: outscore them by 3.6 points
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 218.3 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 187.9 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 244.8 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 143.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 136.5 points
• sj80: outscore them by 126.8 points
• topolho: outscore them by 162.5 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 96.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 68.7 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.5)
12
zafiro
0-6-1 • 7 left
0.0%
playoff
2.4
proj wins
769.1
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
6-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 214.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 184.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 241.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 140.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 133.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 123.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 158.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 92.6 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 65.1 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 30.0)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 3.5)
7-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 214.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 184.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 241.3 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 140.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 133.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 123.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 158.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 92.6 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 65.1 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 30.0)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 3.5)
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.