Mexican Kennel Club
2025 Season
Week
15
Last scored: Week
14
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 3
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 3
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
PBR100
|
3-0
11 games left
|
415.8
|
100.0%
95.9% bye
|
12.9
(3-14)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
szelnick
|
3-0
11 games left
|
392.1
|
99.4%
36.1% bye
|
12.1
(3-14)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
jlowengrub
|
2-1
11 games left
|
409.0
|
98.9%
47.9% bye
|
10.2
(2-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
alexkeisner
|
2-1
11 games left
|
392.7
|
79.9%
11.2% bye
|
8.9
(2-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
sj80
|
2-1
11 games left
|
383.7
|
76.4%
6.5% bye
|
9.1
(2-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
suremanatr
|
2-1
11 games left
|
374.8
|
70.3%
1.4% bye
|
9.7
(2-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
RobMulhall
|
2-1
11 games left
|
352.0
|
15.7%
0.1% bye
|
8.7
(2-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
topolho
|
1-2
11 games left
|
380.4
|
59.2%
1.0% bye
|
7.5
(1-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
howufiger7
|
1-2
11 games left
|
337.7
|
0.2%
|
6.8
(1-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
zafiro
|
0-3
11 games left
|
327.4
|
0.0%
|
4.0
(0-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
Tommybeans
|
0-3
11 games left
|
326.6
|
0.0%
|
4.3
(0-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
likelyBillyD
|
0-3
11 games left
|
279.4
|
0.0%
|
3.1
(0-11)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
PBR100
3-0 • 11 left
100.0%
playoff
12.9
proj wins
415.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
79.8%
Seed 2:
16.0%
Seed 3:
3.3%
Seed 4:
0.8%
Seed 5:
0.1%
Magic Number
10 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
szelnick
3-0 • 11 left
99.4%
playoff
12.1
proj wins
392.1
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
6.3%
Seed 2:
29.8%
Seed 3:
34.5%
Seed 4:
18.5%
Seed 5:
7.7%
Seed 6:
2.6%
Magic Number
10 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
jlowengrub
2-1 • 11 left
98.9%
playoff
10.2
proj wins
409.0
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
10.8%
Seed 2:
37.0%
Seed 3:
28.5%
Seed 4:
14.0%
Seed 5:
6.0%
Seed 6:
2.4%
Magic Number
11 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
alexkeisner
2-1 • 11 left
79.9%
playoff
8.9
proj wins
392.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
2.1%
Seed 2:
9.2%
Seed 3:
13.8%
Seed 4:
21.6%
Seed 5:
18.7%
Seed 6:
14.5%
Magic Number
11 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
sj80
2-1 • 11 left
76.4%
playoff
9.1
proj wins
383.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.9%
Seed 2:
5.6%
Seed 3:
11.7%
Seed 4:
19.7%
Seed 5:
21.2%
Seed 6:
17.4%
Magic Number
11 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
suremanatr
2-1 • 11 left
70.3%
playoff
9.7
proj wins
374.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
1.3%
Seed 3:
4.6%
Seed 4:
13.4%
Seed 5:
22.9%
Seed 6:
28.0%
Magic Number
11 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
RobMulhall
2-1 • 11 left
15.7%
playoff
8.7
proj wins
352.0
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.1%
Seed 3:
0.5%
Seed 4:
1.8%
Seed 5:
4.2%
Seed 6:
9.2%
Magic Number
11 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(3.5% chance)
• You must win 5 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 63.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 57.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 40.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 23.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 28.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.2)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 24.6)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.4)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 72.6)
8-6
(3.5% chance)
• You must win 6 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 63.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 57.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 40.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 23.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 28.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.2)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 24.6)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.4)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 72.6)
9-5
(2.6% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 63.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 57.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 40.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 23.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 28.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.2)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 24.6)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.4)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 72.6)
10-4
(1.9% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 63.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 57.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 40.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 23.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 28.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.2)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 24.6)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.4)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 72.6)
11-3
(1.6% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 63.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 57.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 40.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 23.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 28.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.2)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 24.6)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.4)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 72.6)
12-2
(1.4% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 63.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 57.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 40.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 23.0 points
• topolho: outscore them by 28.5 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.2)
13-1
(1.4% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 63.9 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 40.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 57.1 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 40.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 31.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 23.0 points
8
topolho
1-2 • 11 left
59.2%
playoff
7.5
proj wins
380.4
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.9%
Seed 3:
3.1%
Seed 4:
10.2%
Seed 5:
19.1%
Seed 6:
25.8%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(17.8% chance)
• You must win 6 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 35.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 11.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 28.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 12.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 3.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.4)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.7)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.0)
8-6
(13.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 35.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 11.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 28.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 12.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 3.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.4)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.7)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.0)
9-5
(9.8% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 35.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 11.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 28.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 12.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 3.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.4)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.7)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.0)
10-4
(7.2% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 35.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 11.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 28.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 12.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 3.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.4)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.7)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.0)
11-3
(6.3% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 35.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 11.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 28.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 12.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 3.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.4)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.7)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 53.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 101.0)
12-2
(4.9% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 35.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 11.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 28.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 12.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 3.4 points
• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.4)
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.7)
9
howufiger7
1-2 • 11 left
0.2%
playoff
6.8
proj wins
337.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 6:
0.2%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 6 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 78.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 54.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 71.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 46.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.2 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 42.8 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 10.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.2)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 58.4)
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 78.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 54.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 71.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 46.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.2 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 42.8 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 10.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.2)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 58.4)
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 78.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 54.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 71.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 46.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.2 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 42.8 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 10.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.2)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 58.4)
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 78.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 54.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 71.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 46.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.2 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 42.8 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 10.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.2)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 58.4)
11-3
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 78.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 54.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 71.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 46.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.2 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 42.8 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 10.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.2)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 58.4)
12-2
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 78.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 54.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 71.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 46.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.2 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 42.8 points
10
zafiro
0-3 • 11 left
0.0%
playoff
4.0
proj wins
327.4
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 88.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 64.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 56.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.5 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 24.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 10.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 48.0)
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 88.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 64.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 56.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.5 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 24.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 10.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 48.0)
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 88.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 64.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 56.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.5 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 24.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 10.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 48.0)
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 88.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 64.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 56.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.5 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 24.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 10.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 48.0)
11-3
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 88.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 64.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.3 points
• sj80: outscore them by 56.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.5 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 24.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 10.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 0.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 48.0)
11
Tommybeans
0-3 • 11 left
0.0%
playoff
4.3
proj wins
326.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 89.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 65.6 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 57.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 48.4 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 11.3 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 0.9 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.2)
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 89.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 65.6 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 57.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 48.4 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 11.3 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 0.9 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.2)
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 89.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 65.6 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 57.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 48.4 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 11.3 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 0.9 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.2)
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 89.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 65.6 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 57.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 48.4 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 11.3 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 0.9 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.2)
11-3
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 89.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 65.6 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 82.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 57.2 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 48.4 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 53.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 11.3 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 0.9 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 47.2)
12
likelyBillyD
0-3 • 11 left
0.0%
playoff
3.1
proj wins
279.4
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 136.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 112.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 129.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 113.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 104.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.6 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 72.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 101.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 58.5 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 48.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 47.3 points
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 136.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 112.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 129.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 113.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 104.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.6 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 72.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 101.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 58.5 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 48.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 47.3 points
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 136.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 112.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 129.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 113.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 104.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.6 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 72.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 101.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 58.5 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 48.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 47.3 points
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 136.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 112.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 129.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 113.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 104.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.6 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 72.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 101.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 58.5 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 48.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 47.3 points
11-3
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 136.6 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 112.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 129.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 113.4 points
• sj80: outscore them by 104.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 95.6 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 72.7 points
• topolho: outscore them by 101.1 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 58.5 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 48.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 47.3 points
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.