Mexican Kennel Club

2025 Season

Week 15
Last scored: Week 14

Playoff Calculator

Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations

Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for

Viewing Historical Week 11

Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 11

View Current Week
Current Seed
Team Record
Points For
Playoff % Proj. Wins Actions
1 BYE
PBR100's avatar
PBR100
9-2
3 games left
1514.5
100.0% 98.5% bye
11.1
(9-12)
2 BYE
alexkeisner's avatar
alexkeisner
8-3
3 games left
1480.1
100.0% 61.3% bye
10.0
(8-11)
3
szelnick's avatar
szelnick
7-3-1
3 games left
1430.3
94.4% 15.7% bye
8.9
(7-10)
4
jlowengrub's avatar
jlowengrub
7-4
3 games left
1516.1
99.1% 23.6% bye
8.8
(7-10)
5
topolho's avatar
topolho
6-5
3 games left
1479.0
86.5% 1.1% bye
8.1
(6-9)
6
howufiger7's avatar
howufiger7
6-5
3 games left
1399.8
78.6% 0.0% bye
7.6
(6-9)
7
sj80's avatar
sj80
6-5
3 games left
1275.0
18.2%
7.2
(6-9)
8
suremanatr's avatar
suremanatr
5-6
3 games left
1353.7
12.9%
6.8
(5-8)
9
Tommybeans's avatar
Tommybeans
5-6
3 games left
1349.6
10.3%
6.8
(5-8)
10
zafiro's avatar
zafiro
2-8-1
3 games left
1260.6
0.0%
3.7
(2-5)
11
likelyBillyD's avatar
likelyBillyD
2-9
3 games left
1167.5
0.0%
3.1
(2-5)
12
RobMulhall's avatar
RobMulhall
2-9
3 games left
1139.5
0.0%
2.8
(2-5)
1 PBR100's avatar

PBR100

9-2 • 3 left

BYE
100.0%
playoff
11.1
proj wins
1514.5
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 1:
89.8%
Seed 2:
8.7%
Seed 3:
1.5%
2 alexkeisner's avatar

alexkeisner

8-3 • 3 left

BYE
100.0%
playoff
10.0
proj wins
1480.1
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 1:
8.0%
Seed 2:
53.2%
Seed 3:
24.9%
Seed 4:
11.5%
Seed 5:
1.5%
Seed 6:
0.8%
Magic Number
1 win
To clinch playoff spot
3 szelnick's avatar

szelnick

7-3-1 • 3 left

94.4%
playoff
8.9
proj wins
1430.3
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 1:
0.8%
Seed 2:
14.9%
Seed 3:
22.9%
Seed 4:
26.9%
Seed 5:
16.7%
Seed 6:
12.3%
Magic Number
2 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4 jlowengrub's avatar

jlowengrub

7-4 • 3 left

99.1%
playoff
8.8
proj wins
1516.1
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 1:
1.4%
Seed 2:
22.2%
Seed 3:
38.1%
Seed 4:
21.1%
Seed 5:
11.0%
Seed 6:
5.3%
Magic Number
2 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5 topolho's avatar

topolho

6-5 • 3 left

86.5%
playoff
8.1
proj wins
1479.0
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 2:
1.1%
Seed 3:
10.8%
Seed 4:
19.0%
Seed 5:
28.0%
Seed 6:
27.6%
Magic Number
3 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6 howufiger7's avatar

howufiger7

6-5 • 3 left

78.6%
playoff
7.6
proj wins
1399.8
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 3:
1.6%
Seed 4:
18.9%
Seed 5:
31.4%
Seed 6:
26.6%
Magic Number
3 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7 sj80's avatar

sj80

6-5 • 3 left

18.2%
playoff
7.2
proj wins
1275.0
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 3:
0.1%
Seed 4:
2.4%
Seed 5:
4.8%
Seed 6:
10.8%
Magic Number
3 wins
To clinch playoff spot

Playoff Scenarios

8 suremanatr's avatar

suremanatr

5-6 • 3 left

12.9%
playoff
6.8
proj wins
1353.7
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 4:
0.2%
Seed 5:
4.4%
Seed 6:
8.3%

Playoff Scenarios

9 Tommybeans's avatar

Tommybeans

5-6 • 3 left

10.3%
playoff
6.8
proj wins
1349.6
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 5:
2.2%
Seed 6:
8.1%

Playoff Scenarios

10 zafiro's avatar

zafiro

2-8-1 • 3 left

0.0%
playoff
3.7
proj wins
1260.6
pts for

Seed Probabilities

11 likelyBillyD's avatar

likelyBillyD

2-9 • 3 left

0.0%
playoff
3.1
proj wins
1167.5
pts for

Seed Probabilities

12 RobMulhall's avatar

RobMulhall

2-9 • 3 left

0.0%
playoff
2.8
proj wins
1139.5
pts for

Seed Probabilities

Understanding Your Playoff Chances

Playoff %

Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.

Magic Number

Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.

Playoff Scenarios

Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.

Current Seed

Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.

Projected Wins

Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).

Mathematical Elimination

Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.

Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.