Mexican Kennel Club
2025 Season
Week
15
Last scored: Week
14
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 6
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 6
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
PBR100
|
5-1
8 games left
|
820.2
|
99.9%
87.4% bye
|
11.0
(5-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
alexkeisner
|
5-1
8 games left
|
782.7
|
91.5%
20.6% bye
|
10.9
(5-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
szelnick
|
4-1-1
8 games left
|
800.7
|
95.0%
29.3% bye
|
8.9
(4-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
jlowengrub
|
4-2
8 games left
|
825.9
|
99.1%
53.7% bye
|
9.9
(4-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
topolho
|
3-3
8 games left
|
796.4
|
86.2%
6.1% bye
|
8.6
(3-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
howufiger7
|
3-3
8 games left
|
772.0
|
66.0%
2.1% bye
|
8.2
(3-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
suremanatr
|
3-3
8 games left
|
755.6
|
34.8%
0.5% bye
|
7.5
(3-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
sj80
|
3-3
8 games left
|
727.3
|
24.2%
0.3% bye
|
6.8
(3-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
Tommybeans
|
2-4
8 games left
|
717.8
|
2.8%
|
6.8
(2-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
RobMulhall
|
2-4
8 games left
|
661.8
|
0.4%
|
4.7
(2-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
likelyBillyD
|
1-5
8 games left
|
647.5
|
0.1%
|
3.8
(1-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
zafiro
|
0-5-1
8 games left
|
669.6
|
0.0%
|
2.8
(0-8)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
PBR100
5-1 • 8 left
99.9%
playoff
11.0
proj wins
820.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
61.5%
Seed 2:
25.8%
Seed 3:
8.7%
Seed 4:
3.1%
Seed 5:
0.7%
Seed 6:
0.1%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
alexkeisner
5-1 • 8 left
91.5%
playoff
10.9
proj wins
782.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
7.0%
Seed 2:
13.5%
Seed 3:
21.0%
Seed 4:
21.2%
Seed 5:
16.7%
Seed 6:
12.0%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
szelnick
4-1-1 • 8 left
95.0%
playoff
8.9
proj wins
800.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
10.0%
Seed 2:
19.2%
Seed 3:
23.5%
Seed 4:
20.2%
Seed 5:
14.2%
Seed 6:
7.8%
Magic Number
7 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
jlowengrub
4-2 • 8 left
99.1%
playoff
9.9
proj wins
825.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
20.2%
Seed 2:
33.5%
Seed 3:
23.4%
Seed 4:
13.2%
Seed 5:
6.1%
Seed 6:
2.7%
Magic Number
7 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
topolho
3-3 • 8 left
86.2%
playoff
8.6
proj wins
796.4
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.8%
Seed 2:
5.3%
Seed 3:
14.2%
Seed 4:
22.3%
Seed 5:
26.1%
Seed 6:
17.6%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
howufiger7
3-3 • 8 left
66.0%
playoff
8.2
proj wins
772.0
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.3%
Seed 2:
1.8%
Seed 3:
6.4%
Seed 4:
12.4%
Seed 5:
19.4%
Seed 6:
25.8%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
suremanatr
3-3 • 8 left
34.8%
playoff
7.5
proj wins
755.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.5%
Seed 3:
1.7%
Seed 4:
4.3%
Seed 5:
9.4%
Seed 6:
18.8%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(10.4% chance)
• You must win 4 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 64.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 27.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 70.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 45.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 40.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 16.5 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.7)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 108.1)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.0)
8-6
(8.1% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 64.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 27.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 70.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 45.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 40.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 16.5 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.7)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 108.1)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.0)
9-5
(6.3% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 64.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 27.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 70.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 45.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 40.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 16.5 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.7)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 108.1)
10-4
(5.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 64.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 27.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 70.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 45.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 40.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 16.5 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.3)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.7)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.8)
11-3
(4.7% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 64.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 27.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 70.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 45.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 40.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 16.5 points
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.3)
8
sj80
3-3 • 8 left
24.2%
playoff
6.8
proj wins
727.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.3%
Seed 3:
1.1%
Seed 4:
3.1%
Seed 5:
6.7%
Seed 6:
12.9%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(7.3% chance)
• You must win 4 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 93.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 69.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 44.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 28.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 9.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 65.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.8)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 57.7)
8-6
(5.6% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 93.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 69.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 44.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 28.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 9.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 65.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.8)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 57.7)
9-5
(4.4% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 93.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 69.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 44.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 28.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 9.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 65.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.8)
10-4
(3.6% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 93.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 69.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 44.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 28.4 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 9.5)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 65.5)
11-3
(3.3% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 93.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 55.5 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.5 points
• topolho: outscore them by 69.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 44.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 28.4 points
9
Tommybeans
2-4 • 8 left
2.8%
playoff
6.8
proj wins
717.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.2%
Seed 5:
0.7%
Seed 6:
1.8%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(1.0% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 102.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 108.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 82.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 78.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 54.3 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 9.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 56.0)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 70.3)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 48.2)
8-6
(0.8% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 102.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 108.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 82.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 78.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 54.3 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 9.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 56.0)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 70.3)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 48.2)
9-5
(0.6% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 102.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 108.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 82.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 78.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 54.3 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 9.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 56.0)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 70.3)
10-4
(0.5% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 102.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 108.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 82.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 78.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 54.3 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 37.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 9.6 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 56.0)
10
RobMulhall
2-4 • 8 left
0.4%
playoff
4.7
proj wins
661.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 6:
0.4%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 158.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 121.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 164.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 138.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 134.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 110.3 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 93.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 65.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 56.1 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.3)
• zafiro: outscore them by 7.9 points
8-6
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 158.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 121.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 164.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 138.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 134.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 110.3 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 93.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 65.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 56.1 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.3)
• zafiro: outscore them by 7.9 points
9-5
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 158.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 121.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 164.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 138.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 134.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 110.3 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 93.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 65.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 56.1 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.3)
10-4
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 158.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 121.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 164.2 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 138.9 points
• topolho: outscore them by 134.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 110.3 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 93.8 points
• sj80: outscore them by 65.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 56.1 points
11
likelyBillyD
1-5 • 8 left
0.1%
playoff
3.8
proj wins
647.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 172.8 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 135.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 178.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 153.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 149.0 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 124.6 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 108.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 79.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 70.4 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.4 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 22.2 points
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 172.8 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 135.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 178.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 153.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 149.0 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 124.6 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 108.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 79.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 70.4 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.4 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 22.2 points
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 172.8 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 135.3 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 178.5 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 153.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 149.0 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 124.6 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 108.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 79.9 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 70.4 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 14.4 points
12
zafiro
0-5-1 • 8 left
0.0%
playoff
2.8
proj wins
669.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
7-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 150.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 113.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 156.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 131.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 126.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 102.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 57.8 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 48.3 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 7.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 22.1)
8-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 150.7 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 113.2 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 156.4 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 131.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 126.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 102.5 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 86.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 57.8 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 48.3 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 7.8)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 22.1)
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.