Mexican Kennel Club

2025 Season

Week 15

Last scored: Week 14

Playoff Calculator

Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations

Format: Top 6 teams advance

Playoffs: Start Week 15

Tiebreaker: points_for

Weeks:

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Viewing Historical Week 12

Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 12

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Current Seed	Team	Record	Points For	Playoff %	Proj. Wins
1 BYE	PBR100	10-2 2 games left	1665.7	100.0% 99.5% bye	11.6 (10-12)
Seed Probabilities Seed 1: 96.9% Seed 2: 2.6% Seed 3: 0.5% Most Likely Seed: #1 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Win 1 more to clinch bye week Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 12-2 Worst Case: 10-4 Opp. Strength: 50.8 Points Against: 1348.7 Who to Root For Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes 🛡️ Hope Vinegar strokes beats Taco’s Team - protect your lead and keep them at bay ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 💪 Mr. Poop over ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram - keep that cushion comfortable The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment
2 BYE	alexkeisner	9-3 2 games left	1610.1	100.0% 60.2% bye	10.4 (9-11)
Seed Probabilities Seed 1: 2.7% Seed 2: 57.5% Seed 3: 33.1% Seed 4: 6.3% Seed 5: 0.3% Most Likely Seed: #2 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 11-3 Worst Case: 9-5 Opp. Strength: 51.0 Points Against: 1300.5 Who to Root For Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 👀 Pull for Fear Boner - Dirty Randy is one win ahead and looking dangerous ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 🛡️ Hope Mr. Poop beats ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram - protect your lead and keep them at bay The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection 💪 The Forever Uncleans over Mental Erection - keep that cushion comfortable Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 💪 Cocktor Robert NoseDick over DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD - keep that cushion comfortable Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment
3	jlowengrub	8-4 2 games left	1711.5	100.0% 37.0% bye	9.4 (8-10)
Seed Probabilities Seed 1: 0.5% Seed 2: 36.6% Seed 3: 53.2% Seed 4: 8.0% Seed 5: 1.8% Most Likely Seed: #3 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 10-4 Worst Case: 8-6 Opp. Strength: 51.7 Points Against: 1435.9 Who to Root For Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 📢 Go Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is 2 wins ahead and sitting pretty - let's change that Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes 👀 Pull for Vinegar strokes - Taco’s Team is one win ahead and looking dangerous The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection 🛡️ Hope The Forever Uncleans beats Mental Erection - protect your lead and keep them at bay Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 🛡️ Hope Cocktor Robert NoseDick beats DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD - protect your lead and keep them at bay Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. 💪 Saxo Bowl over IT IS DECIDED. - keep that cushion comfortable
4	szelnick	7-4-1 2 games left	1543.5	96.3% 3.2% bye	8.1 (7-9)
Seed Probabilities Seed 2: 3.2% Seed 3: 10.7% Seed 4: 31.0% Seed 5: 39.2% Seed 6: 12.2% Most Likely Seed: #5 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: 1 Win 1 more to guarantee playoffs Win 1 more game to clinch Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 9-4 Worst Case: 7-6 Opp. Strength: 52.8 Points Against: 1586.4 Who to Root For Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 🚨 ROOT FOR Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is crushing it with 3 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes 📢 Go Vinegar strokes! Taco’s Team is 2 wins ahead and sitting pretty - let's change that Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 🎯 Cocktor Robert NoseDick needs to take down DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD - you're tied and every game matters for seeding ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 👀 Pull for Mr. Poop - ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram is one win ahead and looking dangerous Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. 🛡️ Hope Saxo Bowl beats IT IS DECIDED. - protect your lead and keep them at bay
5	howufiger7	7-5 2 games left	1535.1	97.2% 0.0% bye	8.3 (7-9)
Seed Probabilities Seed 3: 2.5% Seed 4: 49.0% Seed 5: 40.1% Seed 6: 5.6% Most Likely Seed: #4 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: 1 Win 1 more to guarantee playoffs Win 1 more game to clinch Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 9-5 Worst Case: 7-7 Opp. Strength: 52.8 Points Against: 1435.2 Who to Root For Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 🚨 ROOT FOR Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is crushing it with 3 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes 📢 Go Vinegar strokes! Taco’s Team is 2 wins ahead and sitting pretty - let's change that The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection 🎯 The Forever Uncleans needs to take down Mental Erection - you're tied and every game matters for seeding ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 👀 Pull for Mr. Poop - ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram is one win ahead and looking dangerous Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. 🛡️ Hope Saxo Bowl beats IT IS DECIDED. - protect your lead and keep them at bay
6	topolho	6-6 2 games left	1560.1	55.1%	7.3 (6-8)
Seed Probabilities Seed 4: 4.9% Seed 5: 10.5% Seed 6: 39.7% Most Likely Seed: #6 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: 2 Win 2 more to guarantee playoffs Win 2 more games to clinch Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 8-6 Worst Case: 6-8 Opp. Strength: 52.5 Points Against: 1506.5 Who to Root For Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes 🚨 ROOT FOR Vinegar strokes! Taco’s Team is crushing it with 3 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 🚨 ROOT FOR Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is crushing it with 4 more wins than you - time to play spoiler ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 📢 Go Mr. Poop! ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram is 2 wins ahead and sitting pretty - let's change that Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. 🎯 Saxo Bowl needs to take down IT IS DECIDED. - you're tied and every game matters for seeding Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 👀 Pull for Cocktor Robert NoseDick - DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD is one win ahead and looking dangerous
7	Tommybeans	6-6 2 games left	1463.3	27.8%	7.2 (6-8)
Seed Probabilities Seed 4: 0.2% Seed 5: 3.8% Seed 6: 23.7% Most Likely Seed: #6 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: 2 Win 2 more to guarantee playoffs Playoff Scenarios Scenario 1: 7-7 (15.9% chance) • You must win 1 of 2 remaining games • topolho must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • sj80 must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • szelnick: outscore them by 80.3 points • howufiger7: outscore them by 71.8 points • topolho: outscore them by 96.8 points • sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.6) • suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.6) Scenario 2: 8-6 (11.8% chance) • You must win 2 of 2 remaining games • szelnick must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • jlowengrub: outscore them by 248.3 points • szelnick: outscore them by 80.3 points • howufiger7: outscore them by 71.8 points • topolho: outscore them by 96.8 points • sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.6) Win 2 more games to clinch Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 8-6 Worst Case: 6-8 Opp. Strength: 52.8 Points Against: 1514.9 Who to Root For Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 🚨 ROOT FOR Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is crushing it with 4 more wins than you - time to play spoiler ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 📢 Go Mr. Poop! ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram is 2 wins ahead and sitting pretty - let's change that The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection 🎯 Mental Erection needs to take down The Forever Uncleans - you're tied and every game matters for seeding Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. 🎯 Saxo Bowl needs to take down IT IS DECIDED. - you're tied and every game matters for seeding Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 👀 Pull for Cocktor Robert NoseDick - DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD is one win ahead and looking dangerous
8	sj80	6-6 2 games left	1410.8	17.6%	6.7 (6-8)
Seed Probabilities Seed 4: 0.5% Seed 5: 4.2% Seed 6: 12.9% Most Likely Seed: #6 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: 2 Win 2 more to guarantee playoffs Playoff Scenarios Scenario 1: 7-7 (10.1% chance) • You must win 1 of 2 remaining games • topolho must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • szelnick: outscore them by 132.9 points • howufiger7: outscore them by 124.4 points • topolho: outscore them by 149.4 points • Tommybeans: outscore them by 52.7 points • suremanatr: outscore them by 25.1 points Scenario 2: 8-6 (7.5% chance) • You must win 2 of 2 remaining games • szelnick must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • jlowengrub: outscore them by 300.9 points • szelnick: outscore them by 132.9 points • howufiger7: outscore them by 124.4 points • topolho: outscore them by 149.4 points • Tommybeans: outscore them by 52.7 points Win 2 more games to clinch Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 8-6 Worst Case: 6-8 Opp. Strength: 55.4 Points Against: 1457.7 Who to Root For Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes 🚨 ROOT FOR Vinegar strokes! Taco’s Team is crushing it with 3 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 🚨 ROOT FOR Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is crushing it with 4 more wins than you - time to play spoiler ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 📢 Go Mr. Poop! ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram is 2 wins ahead and sitting pretty - let's change that The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection 🎯 Mental Erection needs to take down The Forever Uncleans - you're tied and every game matters for seeding Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 👀 Pull for Cocktor Robert NoseDick - DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD is one win ahead and looking dangerous
9	suremanatr	5-7 2 games left	1435.8	6.0%	5.9 (5-7)
Seed Probabilities Seed 6: 6.0% Most Likely Seed: #6 Clinching & Elimination Playoff Scenarios Scenario 1: 7-7 (6.0% chance) • You must win 2 of 2 remaining games • topolho must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • sj80 must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining • szelnick: outscore them by 107.8 points • howufiger7: outscore them by 99.4 points • topolho: outscore them by 124.4 points • Tommybeans: outscore them by 27.7 points • sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.0) No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 7-7 Worst Case: 5-9 Opp. Strength: 53.1 Points Against: 1545.1 Who to Root For Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes 🚨 ROOT FOR Vinegar strokes! Taco’s Team is crushing it with 4 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 🚨 ROOT FOR Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is crushing it with 5 more wins than you - time to play spoiler ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 🚨 ROOT FOR Mr. Poop! ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram is crushing it with 3 more wins than you - time to play spoiler The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection 📢 Go The Forever Uncleans! Mental Erection is 2 wins ahead and sitting pretty - let's change that Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 📢 Go Cocktor Robert NoseDick! DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD is 2 wins ahead and sitting pretty - let's change that
10	zafiro	3-8-1 2 games left	1367.1	0.0%	4.2 (3-5)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention Mathematically Eliminated 8 teams already have more than your maximum possible 5 wins No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 5-8 Worst Case: 3-10 Opp. Strength: 52.8 Points Against: 1549.9 Who to Root For Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 🚨 ROOT FOR Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is crushing it with 7 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. 🚨 ROOT FOR Saxo Bowl! IT IS DECIDED. is crushing it with 3 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 🚨 ROOT FOR Cocktor Robert NoseDick! DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD is crushing it with 4 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment
11	likelyBillyD	2-10 2 games left	1263.7	0.0%	2.7 (2-4)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention Mathematically Eliminated 9 teams already have more than your maximum possible 4 wins No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 4-10 Worst Case: 2-12 Opp. Strength: 56.7 Points Against: 1620.1 Who to Root For ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 🚨 ROOT FOR Mr. Poop! ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram is crushing it with 6 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Cocktor Robert NoseDick VS DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD 🚨 ROOT FOR Cocktor Robert NoseDick! DayDrunk-GetReadyToSeeMyD is crushing it with 5 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment
12	RobMulhall	2-10 2 games left	1247.9	0.0%	2.6 (2-4)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention Mathematically Eliminated 9 teams already have more than your maximum possible 4 wins No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 2 Best Case: 4-10 Worst Case: 2-12 Opp. Strength: 56.3 Points Against: 1513.5 Who to Root For Fear Boner VS Dirty Randy 🚨 ROOT FOR Fear Boner! Dirty Randy is crushing it with 8 more wins than you - time to play spoiler ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram VS Mr. Poop 🚨 ROOT FOR Mr. Poop! ShivaKaminiSomaKandarKram is crushing it with 6 more wins than you - time to play spoiler Taco’s Team VS Vinegar strokes Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment The Forever Uncleans VS Mental Erection Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment Saxo Bowl VS IT IS DECIDED. Grab some popcorn - this one's just for entertainment

PBR100

10-2 • 2 left

BYE

100.0%

playoff

11.6

proj wins

1665.7

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 1:

96.9%

Seed 2:

2.6%

Seed 3:

0.5%

alexkeisner

9-3 • 2 left

BYE

100.0%

playoff

10.4

proj wins

1610.1

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 1:

2.7%

Seed 2:

57.5%

Seed 3:

33.1%

Seed 4:

6.3%

Seed 5:

0.3%

jlowengrub

8-4 • 2 left

100.0%

playoff

9.4

proj wins

1711.5

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 1:

0.5%

Seed 2:

36.6%

Seed 3:

53.2%

Seed 4:

8.0%

Seed 5:

1.8%

szelnick

7-4-1 • 2 left

96.3%

playoff

8.1

proj wins

1543.5

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 2:

3.2%

Seed 3:

10.7%

Seed 4:

31.0%

Seed 5:

39.2%

Seed 6:

12.2%

Magic Number

1 win

To clinch playoff spot

howufiger7

7-5 • 2 left

97.2%

playoff

8.3

proj wins

1535.1

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 3:

2.5%

Seed 4:

49.0%

Seed 5:

40.1%

Seed 6:

5.6%

Magic Number

1 win

To clinch playoff spot

topolho

6-6 • 2 left

55.1%

playoff

7.3

proj wins

1560.1

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 4:

4.9%

Seed 5:

10.5%

Seed 6:

39.7%

Magic Number

2 wins

To clinch playoff spot

Tommybeans

6-6 • 2 left

27.8%

playoff

7.2

proj wins

1463.3

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 4:

0.2%

Seed 5:

3.8%

Seed 6:

23.7%

Magic Number

2 wins

To clinch playoff spot

Playoff Scenarios

7-7 (15.9% chance)

• You must win 1 of 2 remaining games

• topolho must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• szelnick: outscore them by 80.3 points

• howufiger7: outscore them by 71.8 points

• topolho: outscore them by 96.8 points

• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.6)

• suremanatr: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.6)

8-6 (11.8% chance)

• You must win 2 of 2 remaining games

• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• jlowengrub: outscore them by 248.3 points

• szelnick: outscore them by 80.3 points

• howufiger7: outscore them by 71.8 points

• topolho: outscore them by 96.8 points

• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.6)

sj80

6-6 • 2 left

17.6%

playoff

6.7

proj wins

1410.8

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 4:

0.5%

Seed 5:

4.2%

Seed 6:

12.9%

Magic Number

2 wins

To clinch playoff spot

Playoff Scenarios

7-7 (10.1% chance)

• You must win 1 of 2 remaining games

• topolho must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• szelnick: outscore them by 132.9 points

• howufiger7: outscore them by 124.4 points

• topolho: outscore them by 149.4 points

• Tommybeans: outscore them by 52.7 points

• suremanatr: outscore them by 25.1 points

8-6 (7.5% chance)

• You must win 2 of 2 remaining games

• szelnick must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• jlowengrub: outscore them by 300.9 points

• szelnick: outscore them by 132.9 points

• howufiger7: outscore them by 124.4 points

• topolho: outscore them by 149.4 points

• Tommybeans: outscore them by 52.7 points

suremanatr

5-7 • 2 left

6.0%

playoff

5.9

proj wins

1435.8

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 6:

6.0%

Playoff Scenarios

7-7 (6.0% chance)

• You must win 2 of 2 remaining games

• topolho must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 2 remaining

• szelnick: outscore them by 107.8 points

• howufiger7: outscore them by 99.4 points

• topolho: outscore them by 124.4 points

• Tommybeans: outscore them by 27.7 points

• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.0)

zafiro

3-8-1 • 2 left

0.0%

playoff

4.2

proj wins

1367.1

pts for

Seed Probabilities

likelyBillyD

2-10 • 2 left

0.0%

playoff

2.7

proj wins

1263.7

pts for

Seed Probabilities

RobMulhall

2-10 • 2 left

0.0%

playoff

2.6

proj wins

1247.9

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Understanding Your Playoff Chances

Playoff %

Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.

Magic Number

Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.

Playoff Scenarios

Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.

Current Seed

Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.

Projected Wins

Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).

Mathematical Elimination

Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.

Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.

Mexican Kennel Club

Playoff Calculator

Viewing Historical Week 12

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

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Schedule Analysis

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Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

PBR100

Seed Probabilities

alexkeisner

Seed Probabilities

jlowengrub

Seed Probabilities

szelnick

Seed Probabilities

howufiger7

Seed Probabilities

topolho

Seed Probabilities

Tommybeans

Seed Probabilities

Playoff Scenarios

sj80

Seed Probabilities

Playoff Scenarios

suremanatr

Seed Probabilities

Playoff Scenarios

zafiro

Seed Probabilities

likelyBillyD

Seed Probabilities

RobMulhall

Seed Probabilities

Understanding Your Playoff Chances

Playoff %