Mexican Kennel Club
2025 Season
Week
15
Last scored: Week
14
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 4
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 4
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
PBR100
|
4-0
10 games left
|
556.5
|
100.0%
89.0% bye
|
12.9
(4-14)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
szelnick
|
4-0
10 games left
|
544.5
|
99.9%
54.8% bye
|
12.3
(4-14)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
jlowengrub
|
3-1
10 games left
|
552.1
|
99.7%
43.2% bye
|
11.4
(3-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
alexkeisner
|
3-1
10 games left
|
523.6
|
90.7%
9.1% bye
|
9.3
(3-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
suremanatr
|
3-1
10 games left
|
518.3
|
90.9%
3.6% bye
|
10.0
(3-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
howufiger7
|
2-2
10 games left
|
490.7
|
33.6%
0.2% bye
|
8.1
(2-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
sj80
|
2-2
10 games left
|
470.8
|
22.7%
0.1% bye
|
7.3
(2-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
RobMulhall
|
2-2
10 games left
|
456.8
|
6.4%
|
6.7
(2-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
topolho
|
1-3
10 games left
|
507.7
|
55.6%
0.1% bye
|
5.8
(1-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
Tommybeans
|
0-4
10 games left
|
457.8
|
0.4%
|
3.8
(0-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
zafiro
|
0-4
10 games left
|
431.2
|
0.0%
|
3.4
(0-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
likelyBillyD
|
0-4
10 games left
|
428.6
|
0.1%
|
2.5
(0-10)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
PBR100
4-0 • 10 left
100.0%
playoff
12.9
proj wins
556.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
63.9%
Seed 2:
25.1%
Seed 3:
8.8%
Seed 4:
1.8%
Seed 5:
0.4%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
szelnick
4-0 • 10 left
99.9%
playoff
12.3
proj wins
544.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
19.8%
Seed 2:
35.0%
Seed 3:
30.4%
Seed 4:
10.8%
Seed 5:
3.2%
Seed 6:
0.7%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
jlowengrub
3-1 • 10 left
99.7%
playoff
11.4
proj wins
552.1
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
13.3%
Seed 2:
29.9%
Seed 3:
34.2%
Seed 4:
15.6%
Seed 5:
5.4%
Seed 6:
1.4%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
alexkeisner
3-1 • 10 left
90.7%
playoff
9.3
proj wins
523.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
2.4%
Seed 2:
6.6%
Seed 3:
14.9%
Seed 4:
29.8%
Seed 5:
24.4%
Seed 6:
12.6%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
suremanatr
3-1 • 10 left
90.9%
playoff
10.0
proj wins
518.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.5%
Seed 2:
3.1%
Seed 3:
9.3%
Seed 4:
30.1%
Seed 5:
33.7%
Seed 6:
14.2%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
howufiger7
2-2 • 10 left
33.6%
playoff
8.1
proj wins
490.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.2%
Seed 3:
0.9%
Seed 4:
3.5%
Seed 5:
9.0%
Seed 6:
20.0%
Magic Number
10 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
sj80
2-2 • 10 left
22.7%
playoff
7.3
proj wins
470.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.5%
Seed 4:
2.1%
Seed 5:
5.9%
Seed 6:
14.2%
Magic Number
10 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(6.6% chance)
• You must win 5 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 85.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 52.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 20.0 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 37.0 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.0)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.2)
8-6
(4.9% chance)
• You must win 6 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 85.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 52.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 20.0 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 37.0 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.0)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.2)
9-5
(3.6% chance)
• You must win 7 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 85.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 52.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 20.0 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 37.0 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.0)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.2)
10-4
(3.1% chance)
• You must win 8 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 85.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 52.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 20.0 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 37.0 points
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.0)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 42.2)
11-3
(2.5% chance)
• You must win 9 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 85.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 52.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 20.0 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 37.0 points
12-2
(2.1% chance)
• You must win 10 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 85.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 73.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 81.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 52.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 47.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 20.0 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.1)
8
RobMulhall
2-2 • 10 left
6.4%
playoff
6.7
proj wins
456.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.2%
Seed 5:
1.2%
Seed 6:
4.9%
Magic Number
10 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(1.9% chance)
• You must win 5 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 99.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 87.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 95.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 61.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 34.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 14.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 51.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 1.2 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.2)
8-6
(1.4% chance)
• You must win 6 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 99.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 87.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 95.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 61.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 34.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 14.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 51.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 1.2 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.2)
9-5
(1.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 99.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 87.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 95.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 61.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 34.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 14.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 51.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 1.2 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.2)
10-4
(0.9% chance)
• You must win 8 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 99.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 87.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 95.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 61.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 34.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 14.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 51.1 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 1.2 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.2)
11-3
(0.7% chance)
• You must win 9 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 99.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 87.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 95.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 61.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 34.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 14.2 points
• topolho: outscore them by 51.1 points
12-2
(0.6% chance)
• You must win 10 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 99.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 87.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 95.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 66.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 61.7 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 34.1 points
• sj80: outscore them by 14.2 points
9
topolho
1-3 • 10 left
55.6%
playoff
5.8
proj wins
507.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.1%
Seed 3:
1.0%
Seed 4:
6.1%
Seed 5:
16.7%
Seed 6:
31.7%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(17.9% chance)
• You must win 6 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 48.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 36.9 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 44.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 15.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 10.7 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.9)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 49.9)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 76.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.2)
8-6
(13.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 48.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 36.9 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 44.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 15.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 10.7 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.9)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 49.9)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 76.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.2)
9-5
(9.8% chance)
• You must win 8 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 48.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 36.9 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 44.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 15.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 10.7 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.9)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 49.9)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 76.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.2)
10-4
(8.5% chance)
• You must win 9 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 48.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 36.9 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 44.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 15.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 10.7 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.9)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.0)
• Tommybeans: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 49.9)
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 76.5)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 79.2)
11-3
(6.3% chance)
• You must win 10 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 48.8 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 36.9 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 44.5 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 15.9 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 10.7 points
• howufiger7: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.0)
• sj80: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.9)
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.0)
10
Tommybeans
0-4 • 10 left
0.4%
playoff
3.8
proj wins
457.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 6:
0.3%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 7 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 86.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 94.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 60.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 33.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 13.1 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 50.0 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.3)
8-6
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 8 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 86.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 94.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 60.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 33.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 13.1 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 50.0 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.3)
9-5
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 9 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 86.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 94.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 60.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 33.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 13.1 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 50.0 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.3)
10-4
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 10 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 98.7 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 86.8 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 94.4 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 65.8 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 60.6 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 33.0 points
• sj80: outscore them by 13.1 points
• RobMulhall: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.1)
• topolho: outscore them by 50.0 points
• zafiro: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.6)
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.3)
11
zafiro
0-4 • 10 left
0.0%
playoff
3.4
proj wins
431.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 125.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 113.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 92.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 87.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 59.6 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.7 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 76.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 26.7 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.7)
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 125.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 113.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 92.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 87.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 59.6 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.7 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 76.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 26.7 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.7)
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• likelyBillyD must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 125.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 113.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 92.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 87.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 59.6 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.7 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 76.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 26.7 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.7)
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 125.3 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 113.4 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 121.0 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 92.4 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 87.2 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 59.6 points
• sj80: outscore them by 39.7 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 25.6 points
• topolho: outscore them by 76.6 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 26.7 points
• likelyBillyD: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 2.7)
12
likelyBillyD
0-4 • 10 left
0.1%
playoff
2.5
proj wins
428.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 6:
0.1%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 7 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 7 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 128.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 116.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 123.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 95.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 89.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 62.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 42.3 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 28.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 79.3 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 29.4 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 2.8 points
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 6 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 128.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 116.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 123.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 95.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 89.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 62.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 42.3 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 28.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 79.3 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 29.4 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 2.8 points
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 5 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• Tommybeans must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• zafiro must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 128.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 116.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 123.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 95.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 89.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 62.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 42.3 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 28.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 79.3 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 29.4 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 2.8 points
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 10 remaining games
• PBR100 must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• szelnick must lose at least 4 of 10 remaining
• jlowengrub must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• alexkeisner must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• suremanatr must lose at least 3 of 10 remaining
• howufiger7 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• sj80 must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• RobMulhall must lose at least 2 of 10 remaining
• topolho must lose at least 1 of 10 remaining
• PBR100: outscore them by 128.0 points
• szelnick: outscore them by 116.0 points
• jlowengrub: outscore them by 123.6 points
• alexkeisner: outscore them by 95.1 points
• suremanatr: outscore them by 89.9 points
• howufiger7: outscore them by 62.2 points
• sj80: outscore them by 42.3 points
• RobMulhall: outscore them by 28.3 points
• topolho: outscore them by 79.3 points
• Tommybeans: outscore them by 29.4 points
• zafiro: outscore them by 2.8 points
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.